Research Areas
Infectious disease modelling
Mathematical modelling of infectious disease transmission in human and animal populations.
Avian influenza virus
Characterising the transmission dynamics of avian influenza virus in poultry production and distribution networks.
Phylodynamics
Understanding pathogen transmission from genetic data.
Simulation-based inference
Leveraging classical and deep-learning-powered methods to perform inference with complex models.
Recent Publications
Spatial distribution of poultry farms using point pattern modelling: a method to address livestock environmental impacts and disease transmission risks
PLoS Computational Biology • 2025
Modelling the transmission dynamics of H9N2 avian influenza viruses in a live bird market
Nature Communications • 2024
EPINEST, an agent-based model to simulate epidemic dynamics in large-scale poultry production and distribution networks
PLoS Computational Biology • 2024
Shifting patterns of dengue three years after Zika virus emergence in Brazil
Nature Communications • 2024
Genomic epidemiology sheds light on the recent spatio-temporal dynamics of Yellow Fever virus and the spatial corridor that fueled its ongoing emergence in southern Brazil
Science Advances • 2023
Atypical weather is associated with the 2022 early start of West Nile virus transmission in Italy
Eurosurveillance • 2022
Dynamics and Determinants of SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR Testing on Symptomatic Individuals Attending Healthcare Centers during 2020 in Bahia, Brazil
Viruses • 2022
Real-time seroprevalence and exposure levels of emerging pathogens in infection-naive host populations
Scientific reports • 2021
Anatomy of digital contact tracing: Role of age, transmission setting, adoption, and case detection
Science Advances • 2021
Potential impact of individual exposure histories to endemic human coronaviruses on age-dependent severity of COVID-19
BMC Medicine • 2021
Network sensitivity of systemic risk
Journal of Network Theory in Finance • 2020
Tracing and analysis of 288 early SARS-CoV-2 infections outside China: A modeling study
PLoS Medicine • 2020
Preparedness and vulnerability of African countries against importations of COVID-19: a modelling study
The Lancet • 2020
Novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) early-stage importation risk to Europe, January 2020
Eurosurveillance • 2020
Interplay between competitive and cooperative interactions in a three-player pathogen system
Royal Society Open Science • 2020
Host contact dynamics shapes richness and dominance of pathogen strains
PLoS Computational Biology • 2019